DETERMINAN PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT DALAM PERHITUNGAN EXPECTED CREDIT LOSS PERBANKAN

Dependence of Default Probability and Recovery Rate in Structural Credit Risk Models: Empirical Evidence from Greece

The main idea of this paper is to study the dependence between the probability of default and the recovery rate on credit portfolio and to seek empirically this relationship. We examine the dependence between PD and RR by theoretical approach. For the empirically methodology, we use the bootstrapped quantile regression and the simultaneous quantile regression. These methods allow to determinate...

Valuation of Credit Default Swaptions and Credit Default Index Swaptions

dependence of default probability and recovery rate in structural credit risk models: empirical evidence from greece

the main idea of this paper is to study the dependence between the probability of default and the recovery rate on credit portfolio and to seek empirically this relationship. we examine the dependence between pd and rr by theoretical approach. for the empirically methodology, we use the bootstrapped quantile regression and the simultaneous quantile regression. these methods allow to determinate...

Loss given default models incorporating macroeconomic variables for credit cards

Based onUKdata formajor retail credit cards,we build severalmodels of Loss GivenDefault based on account level data, including Tobit, a decision tree model, a Beta and fractional logit transformation. We find that Ordinary Least Squares models with macroeconomic variables perform best for forecasting Loss Given Default at the account and portfolio levels on independent hold-out data sets. The i...

Payment Changes and Default Risk: The Impact of Refinancing on Expected Credit Losses

paper presents preliminary findings and is being distributed to economists and other interested readers solely to stimulate discussion and elicit comments. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and are not necessarily reflective of views at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System. Any errors or omissions are the responsibility of the authors.